Monday, August 14, 2006

TECHNICAL OUTLOOK - 14, AUGUST

Nifty 3274.35

The short term trend in Nifty is looking bullish and this view holds good as long as Nifty stays above 3170 level. And as long as Nifty stays above this level, it has potential of testing higher targets above 3350.

Today, it seems Nifty is likely to test 3310-3320 level initially, if it sustains above 3260. The stop for the longs is 3240.


Tcs 967.60

The short term trend in this scrip is looking bullish. If the scrip manages to stay above 972, then it has potential of testing 1000 initially in few trading sessions.



Medium term Outlook of Nifty

For the past few weeks, I have been mentioning that the maximum possible downside potential is limited to 2500 level for Nifty. If market doesn’t violate this level here after, the long term bullish trend will remain intact. Correction extending beyond this level is highly suspectable and we have to rework the long term charts. Now, one can remain invested for the long term with a stop at 3050.

The post correction scenario has two possibilities. One possibility is, Nifty is likely to move towards its all time high in a slow manner and if this is the case, then it may take 6 months to 1 year to cross the all time high. The other view is, Nifty is likely to move towards its previous high without any major downside correction and in this case, Nifty is likely to cross the all time high before the month of August 2006. If Market moves in expected lines, then once again we are likely to see a strong bull market in coming months.