Tuesday, September 08, 2009

TECHNICAL OUTLOOK, 8 SEPTEMBER



Nifty (spot) 4782.90



Nifty Intraday trading levels and range


Today, if Nifty sustains below 4750, then it could test 4700 and below that level it coult test 4640.

Instead, if Nifty trades above 4750, then it could test 4830.


International Indices are likely to correct 20 to 25 percent from current levels and correction is likely to start in another 10 trading sessions.




Nifty intraday Trading Strategy

For intraday, the crucial level is 4750. Trade short below this level and trade long above this level.


Nifty Positional Trading Strategy


Positional traders can initiate shorts if it fails to sustain above 4720 for a target of 3900 with a stop at 4720 and trade long above 4720 for a target of 4900 with a stop at 4720.



Short term Technical View of Nifty


Nifty is likely to test 3900 initially in the downside, if it fails to move above 4720 in coming trading sessions. And if it trades above 4720, then it could test 4850 levels.




Medium term outlook of Nifty dated on 20 May 2009

The medium term outlook of Nifty would remain bearish if it fails to sustain above 4900. Nifty is likely to bottom out in the medium term at 2000-2200 levels in coming months and if it fails to sustain above this level, then it is likely to decline below 2000 levels.





Long term outlook of Nifty dated on 30 June 2009

The long term outlook of Nifty is looking bearish and it seems that Nifty is likely to bottom out in 1 year, if the bottom forms around 2000. If the level 2000 is not held, then Nifty is likely to take more than 2 years to bottom out.





Short term trading calls of Stocks for spot market



Reliance (spot)

The level 1960 is crucial for short term. If it sustains above 1940, then it is likely to rally towards 2020.

Instead, if it fails to sustain above 1960 in coming trading sessions, then it is likely to turn weak and it could decline towards 1820 initially.

Trading Strategy for Reliance

For intraday, the crucial level is 1995. Trade long above these levels and trade short below these levels.

Positional traders can initiate longs if it sustains above 1960 for a target of 2020. Initiate shorts if it fails to sustain above 1960 for a target of 1820.



SBI (spot)

The crucial level for the short term for this scrip is 1775. If it fails to sustain above 1775, then it is likely to turn bearish and in the down side it could test 1670 in coming trading sessions.

Instead, if it sustains above 1775, then the short term trend would turn bullish and in the upper side it is likely to move towards 1820.


Trading Strategy for SBI

For Intraday, the crucial level is 1790. Trade long above this level and trade short below this level.

Positional traders can initiate shorts if it fails to sustain above 1775 for a target of 1670. And initiate longs if it sustains above 1775 for a target of 1820.



Rcom (spot)

The level 300 is crucial in the short term. If the scrip trades above this level, the short term would turn bullish and in the upper side it could test 320.

If it fails to sustain above 300, then the trend would turn bearish and in the downside it is likely to decline towards 250 initially.


Trading Strategy for Rcom


For intraday, the crucial level is 300. Trade long above this level and be short below this level.

Positional traders can initiate shorts if it fails to sustain above 300 for a target of 250. Initiate longs if it sustains above 300 for a target of 320.





Icici Bank (spot)

The level 755 is crucial for this scrip in the short term. If it sustains above this level, then it is likely to see a rally from these levels towards 800.

Instead, if it fails to sustain above 755, the short term trend would turn bearish and in the downside it is likely to decline towards 700 initially.



Trading Strategy for Icici Bank

For intraday, the crucial level is 775 . Trade long above this level and be short below this level.

Positional traders can initiate shorts if the scrip fails to sustain above 755 for a target of 680. Initiate longs if it sustains above 755 for a target of 800.




Tata Steel (spot)

The crucial level for the scrip in the short term is 420. The trend would remain bearish for this scrip if it sustains below 420 and in the down side, it could test 370 initially.

If the scrip sustains above 420 then the scrip is likely to turn bullish in the short term and in the upper side it could rally towards 445.


Trading Strategy for Tata Steel

For intraday, the crucial level is 445. Trade long above this level and be short below this level.

Positional traders can initiate longs if the scrip sustains above 420 in the upside for a target of 445. Short if it fails to sustain above 420 for a target of 370.


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