Tuesday, August 18, 2009

TECHNICAL OUTLOOK, 18 AUGUST





Nifty (spot) 4387.80



Nifty Intraday trading levels and range


Today, if Nifty sustains below 4425, then it could test 4340 and below this level it could test 4300.

Instead, if Nifty trades above 4425, then it could test 4480.

If Nifty sustains above 4300 today, then it is likely to rally towards 4425 or 4480 in another two trading sessions.

Nifty is likely to test 4000 by this month end.



Nifty intraday Trading Strategy

For intraday, the crucial level is 4425. Trade short below this level till 4300 and trade long above this level til 4480.


Nifty Positional Trading Strategy


Positional traders can initiate shorts if it fails to sustain above 4500 for a target of 3900 with a stop at 4500 and trade long above 4500 for a target of 4700 with a stop at 4500.



Short term Technical View of Nifty


Nifty is likely to test 3900 initially in the downside, if it fails to move above 4720 in coming trading sessions. And if it trades above 4720, then it could test 4850 levels.

Going by the price pattern, Nifty is likely to test 3800 level by middle of september.






Medium term outlook of Nifty dated on 20 May 2009

The medium term outlook of Nifty would remain bearish if it fails to sustain above 4900. Nifty is likely to bottom out in the medium term at 2000-2200 levels in coming months and if it fails to sustain above this level, then it is likely to decline below 2000 levels.





Long term outlook of Nifty dated on 30 June 2009

The long term outlook of Nifty is looking bearish and it seems that Nifty is likely to bottom out in 1 year, if the bottom forms around 2000. If the level 2000 is not held, then Nifty is likely to take more than 2 years to bottom out.





Short term trading calls of Stocks for spot market



Reliance (spot)

The level 1890 is crucial for short term. If it sustains above 1890, then it is likely to rally towards 1970.

Instead, if it fails to sustain above 1890 in coming trading sessions, then it is likely to turn weak and it could decline towards 1820 initially.

Trading Strategy for Reliance

For intraday, the crucial level is 1890. Trade long above these levels and trade short below these levels.

Positional traders can initiate longs if it sustains above 1890 for a target of 1970. Initiate shorts if it fails to sustain above 1890 for a target of 1820.



SBI (spot)

The crucial level for the short term for this scrip is 1730. If it fails to sustain above 1730, then it is likely to turn bearish and in the down side it could test 1670 in coming trading sessions.

Instead, if it sustains above 1730, then the short term trend would turn bullish and in the upper side it is likely to move towards 1770.


Trading Strategy for SBI

For Intraday, the crucial level is 1730. Trade long above this level and trade short below this level.

Positional traders can initiate shorts if it fails to sustain above 1730 for a target of 1670. And initiate longs if it sustains above 1730 for a target of 1770.



Rcom (spot)

The level 255 is crucial in the short term. If the scrip trades above this level, the short term would turn bullish and in the upper side it could test 275.

If it fails to sustain above 255, then the trend would turn bearish and in the downside it is likely to decline towards 200 initially.


Trading Strategy for Rcom


For intraday, the crucial level is 240. Trade long above this level and be short below this level.

Positional traders can initiate shorts if it fails to sustain above 255 for a target of 200. Initiate longs if it sustains above 255 for a target of 275.





Icici Bank (spot)

The level 680 is crucial for this scrip in the short term. If it sustains above this level, then it is likely to see a rally from these levels towards 720.

Instead, if it fails to sustain above 680, the short term trend would turn bearish and in the downside it is likely to decline towards 650 initially.



Trading Strategy for Icici Bank

For intraday, the crucial level is 680 . Trade long above this level and be short below this level.

Positional traders can initiate shorts if the scrip fails to sustain above 680 for a target of 650. Initiate longs if it sustains above 680 for a target of 720.




Tata Steel (spot)

The crucial level for the scrip in the short term is 445. The trend would remain bearish for this scrip if it sustains below 445 and in the down side, it could test 400 initially.

If the scrip sustains above 445 then the scrip is likely to turn bullish in the short term and in the upper side it could rally towards 465.


Trading Strategy for Tata Steel

For intraday, the crucial level is 445. Trade long above this level and be short below this level.

Positional traders can initiate longs if the scrip sustains above 445 in the upside for a target of 465. Short if it fails to sustain above 445 for a target of 400.


Visit us at:
www.sathiamoorthy.com

Contact:
9381203517
sathiamoorthyd@gmail.com
Yahoo Messenger Id - sathiamoorthyd@yahoo.com
Chennai