Friday, August 14, 2009

TECHNICAL OUTLOOK, 14 AUGUST





Nifty (spot) 4605.00



Nifty Intraday trading levels and range


Today, if Nifty sustains below 4640, then it could test 4500.

Instead, if Nifty trades above 4640, then it could test 4700.

If Nifty fails to sustain above 4640, then it could test 4500 in another two trading sessions.



Nifty intraday Trading Strategy

For intraday, the crucial level is 4640. Trade short below this level and trade long above this level.


Nifty Positional Trading Strategy


Positional traders can initiate shorts if it fails to sustain above 4720 for a target of 3900 with a stop at 4720 and trade long above 4720 for a target of 4850 with a stop at 4720.



Short term Technical View of Nifty


Nifty is likely to test 3900 initially in the downside, if it fails to move above 4720 in coming trading sessions. And if it trades above 4720, then it could test 4850 levels.

The rally from the low of 2545 seems to corrective and it is likely to top out around 4720. Initially it is likely to test 3600 in the downside.






Medium term outlook of Nifty dated on 20 May 2009

The medium term outlook of Nifty would remain bearish if it fails to sustain above 4900. Nifty is likely to bottom out in the medium term at 2000-2200 levels in coming months and if it fails to sustain above this level, then it is likely to decline below 2000 levels.





Long term outlook of Nifty dated on 30 June 2009

The long term outlook of Nifty is looking bearish and it seems that Nifty is likely to bottom out in 1 year, if the bottom forms around 2000. If the level 2000 is not held, then Nifty is likely to take more than 2 years to bottom out.





Short term trading calls of Stocks for spot market



Reliance (spot)

The level 2030 is crucial for short term. If it sustains above 2030, then it is likely to rally towards 2150.

Instead, if it fails to sustain above 2030 in coming trading sessions, then it is likely to turn weak and it could decline towards 1920 initially.

Trading Strategy for Reliance

For intraday, the crucial level is 2030. Trade long above these levels and trade short below these levels.

Positional traders can initiate longs if it sustains above 2030 for a target of 2150. Initiate shorts if it fails to sustain above 2030 for a target of 1920.



SBI (spot)

The crucial level for the short term for this scrip is 1830. If it fails to sustain above 1830, then it is likely to turn bearish and in the down side it could test 1700 in coming trading sessions.

Instead, if it sustains above 1830, then the short term trend would turn bullish and in the upper side it is likely to move towards 1900.


Trading Strategy for SBI

For Intraday, the crucial level is 1830. Trade long above this level and trade short below this level.

Positional traders can initiate shorts if it fails to sustain above 1830 for a target of 1700. And initiate longs if it sustains above 1830 for a target of 1900.



Rcom (spot)

The level 265 is crucial in the short term. If the scrip trades above this level, the short term would turn bullish and in the upper side it could test 275.

If it fails to sustain above 265, then the trend would turn bearish and in the downside it is likely to decline towards 200 initially.


Trading Strategy for Rcom


For intraday, the crucial level is 265. Trade long above this level and be short below this level.

Positional traders can initiate shorts if it fails to sustain above 265 for a target of 200. Initiate longs if it sustains above 265 for a target of 270.





Icici Bank (spot)

The level 770 is crucial for this scrip in the short term. If it sustains above this level, then it is likely to see a rally from these levels towards 800.

Instead, if it fails to sustain above 770, the short term trend would turn bearish and in the downside it is likely to decline towards 680 initially.



Trading Strategy for Icici Bank

For intraday, the crucial level is 750 . Trade long above this level and be short below this level.

Positional traders can initiate shorts if the scrip fails to sustain above 770 for a target of 680. Initiate longs if it sustains above 770 for a target of 800.




Tata Steel (spot)

The crucial level for the scrip in the short term is 480. The trend would remain bearish for this scrip if it sustains below 480 and in the down side, it could test 400 initially.

If the scrip sustains above 480 then the scrip is likely to turn bullish in the short term and in the upper side it could rally towards 500.


Trading Strategy for Tata Steel

For intraday, the crucial level is 480. Trade long above this level and be short below this level.

Positional traders can initiate longs if the scrip sustains above 480 in the upside for a target of 500. Short if it fails to sustain above 480 for a target of 400.


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