Tuesday, June 09, 2009

TECHNICAL OUTLOOK, 9 JUNE




Nifty (spot) 4586.90



Nifty Intraday trading levels and range

Today, if Nifty trades above 4450, then it could test 4500.

Instead, if it sustains below 4450, then it could test 4310.


Nifty intraday Trading Strategy

For intraday, the crucial level is 4450. Trade short below this level and trade long above this level.


Nifty Positional Trading Strategy


Positional traders can initiate shorts if it fails to sustain above 4650 for a target of 3600 with a stop at 4650 and trade long above 4650 for a target of 5000 with a stop at 4650.



Short term Technical View of Nifty


The rally from the low of 2545 seems to corrective and it is likely to top out around 4650. Initially it is likely to test 3600 in the downside.






Medium term outlook of Nifty dated on 20 May 2009

The medium term outlook of Nifty would remain bearish if it fails to sustain above 4650. Nifty is likely to bottom out in the medium term at 2000-2200 levels in coming months and if it fails to sustain above this level, then it is likely to decline below 2000 levels.





Long term outlook of Nifty dated on 13 October 2008

The long term outlook of Nifty is looking bearish and it seems that Nifty is likely to bottom out in 6 months to 1 year if the bottom forms around 2000. If the level 2000 is not held, then Nifty is likely to take more than 1 year to bottom out.





Short term trading calls of Stocks for spot market



Reliance (spot)

The level 2180 is crucial for short term. If it sustains above 2180, then it is likely to rally towards 2230.

Instead, if it fails to sustain above 2180 in coming trading sessions, then it is likely to turn weak and it could decline towards 2000 initially.

Trading Strategy for Reliance

For intraday, the crucial level is 2180. Trade long above these levels and trade short below these levels.

Positional traders can initiate longs if it sustains above 2180 for a target of 2230. Initiate shorts if it fails to sustain above 2180 for a target of 2000.



SBI (spot)

The crucial level for the short term for this scrip is 1720. If it fails to sustain above 1720, then it is likely to turn bearish and in the down side it could test 1550 in coming trading sessions.

Instead, if it sustains above 1720, then the short term trend would turn bullish and in the upper side it is likely to move towards 1770.


Trading Strategy for SBI

For Intraday, the crucial level is 1720. Trade long above this level and trade short below this level.

Positional traders can initiate shorts if it fails to sustain above 1720 for a target of 1550. And initiate longs if it sustains above 1720 for a target of 1770.



Rcom (spot)

The level 320 is crucial in the short term. If the scrip trades above this level, the short term would turn bullish and in the upper side it could test 340.

If it fails to sustain above 320, then the trend would turn bearish and in the downside it is likely to decline towards 280 initially.


Trading Strategy for Rcom


For intraday, the crucial level is 320. Trade long above this level and be short below this level.

Positional traders can initiate shorts if it fails to sustain above 320 for a target of 280. Initiate longs if it sustains above 320 for a target of 340.





Icici Bank (spot)

The level 735 is crucial for this scrip in the short term. If it sustains above this level, then it is likely to see a rally from these levels towards 755.

Instead, if it fails to sustain above 735, the short term trend would turn bearish and in the downside it is likely to decline towards 650 initially.



Trading Strategy for Icici Bank

For intraday, the crucial level is 735 . Trade long above this level and be short below this level.

Positional traders can initiate shorts if the scrip fails to sustain above 735 for a target of 650. Initiate longs if it sustains above 735 for a target of 755.




DLF (spot)

The crucial level for the scrip in the short term is 380. The trend would remain bearish for this scrip if it sustains below 380 and in the down side, it could test 330 initially.

If the scrip sustains above 380, then the scrip is likely to turn bullish in the short term and in the upper side it could rally towards 405.


Trading Strategy for DLF

For intraday, the crucial level is 380. Trade long above this level and be short below this level.

Positional traders can initiate longs if the scrip sustains above 380 in the upside for a target of 405. Short if it fails to sustain above 380 for a target of 330.


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