Tuesday, June 16, 2009

TECHNICAL OUTLOOK, 16 JUNE






Nifty (spot) 4583.40



Nifty Intraday trading levels and range


Today, if it sustains below 4530, then it could test 4400 and below this level, it could test 4300.

Instead, if Nifty trades above 4530, then it could test 4570.



Nifty intraday Trading Strategy

For intraday, the crucial level is 4530. Trade short below this level and trade long above this level.


Nifty Positional Trading Strategy


Positional traders can initiate shorts if it fails to sustain above 4650 for a target of 3600 with a stop at 4650 and trade long above 4650 for a target of 5000 with a stop at 4650.



Short term Technical View of Nifty


Nifty is likely to test 4350 initially in the downside, if it fails to move above 4600 in coming trading sessions.
The rally from the low of 2545 seems to corrective and it is likely to top out around 4650. Initially it is likely to test 3600 in the downside.






Medium term outlook of Nifty dated on 20 May 2009

The medium term outlook of Nifty would remain bearish if it fails to sustain above 4650. Nifty is likely to bottom out in the medium term at 2000-2200 levels in coming months and if it fails to sustain above this level, then it is likely to decline below 2000 levels.





Long term outlook of Nifty dated on 13 October 2008

The long term outlook of Nifty is looking bearish and it seems that Nifty is likely to bottom out in 6 months to 1 year if the bottom forms around 2000. If the level 2000 is not held, then Nifty is likely to take more than 1 year to bottom out.





Short term trading calls of Stocks for spot market



Reliance (spot)

The level 2230 is crucial for short term. If it sustains above 2230, then it is likely to rally towards 2300.

Instead, if it fails to sustain above 2230 in coming trading sessions, then it is likely to turn weak and it could decline towards 2000 initially.

Trading Strategy for Reliance

For intraday, the crucial level is 2230. Trade long above these levels and trade short below these levels.

Positional traders can initiate longs if it sustains above 2230 for a target of 2300. Initiate shorts if it fails to sustain above 2230 for a target of 2000.



SBI (spot)

The crucial level for the short term for this scrip is 1670. If it fails to sustain above 1670, then it is likely to turn bearish and in the down side it could test 1500 in coming trading sessions.

Instead, if it sustains above 1670, then the short term trend would turn bullish and in the upper side it is likely to move towards 1750.


Trading Strategy for SBI

For Intraday, the crucial level is 1630. Trade long above this level and trade short below this level.

Positional traders can initiate shorts if it fails to sustain above 1670 for a target of 1500. And initiate longs if it sustains above 1670 for a target of 1750.



Rcom (spot)

The level 330 is crucial in the short term. If the scrip trades above this level, the short term would turn bullish and in the upper side it could test 350.

If it fails to sustain above 330, then the trend would turn bearish and in the downside it is likely to decline towards 280 initially.


Trading Strategy for Rcom


For intraday, the crucial level is 330. Trade long above this level and be short below this level.

Positional traders can initiate shorts if it fails to sustain above 330 for a target of 280. Initiate longs if it sustains above 330 for a target of 350.





Icici Bank (spot)

The level 755 is crucial for this scrip in the short term. If it sustains above this level, then it is likely to see a rally from these levels towards 800.

Instead, if it fails to sustain above 755, the short term trend would turn bearish and in the downside it is likely to decline towards 650 initially.



Trading Strategy for Icici Bank

For intraday, the crucial level is 755 . Trade long above this level and be short below this level.

Positional traders can initiate shorts if the scrip fails to sustain above 755 for a target of 650. Initiate longs if it sustains above 755 for a target of 800.




DLF (spot)

The crucial level for the scrip in the short term is 360. The trend would remain bearish for this scrip if it sustains below 360 and in the down side, it could test 300 initially.

If the scrip sustains above 360, then the scrip is likely to turn bullish in the short term and in the upper side it could rally towards 385.


Trading Strategy for DLF

For intraday, the crucial level is 360. Trade long above this level and be short below this level.

Positional traders can initiate longs if the scrip sustains above 360 in the upside for a target of 385. Short if it fails to sustain above 360 for a target of 300.


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