Friday, June 23, 2006

TECHNICAL OUTLOOK - 23, JUNE

23, JUNE
Nifty 2994.75


If Nifty manages to stay above 2920 region and rebounds from lower level sharply and if it moves above 3020 level, then the next target of 3100 will be achieved shortly. And also it would confirm further upside in coming trading sessions. The stop for the longs is 2920.


Though Nifty has moved above 2950 level comfortably, it should sustain above 2920 region and it should resume its upmove above 3020 immediately to confirm the low. And also, a move below 2840 would invite further downside. So, follow the stoploss level strictly.


For the past few weeks, I have been mentioning that the maximum possible downside potential is limited to 2500 level for Nifty. If market doesn’t violate this level here after, the long term bullish trend will remain intact. Correction extending beyond this level is highly suspectable and we have to rework the long term charts.

Now, if Nifty sustains above 2950 level, then we can confirm the bottom at 2595. Instead, if there is going to be a correction for the recent rally from the low of 2595, then Nifty should not violate 2595 level to confirm the bottom.

The post correction scenario has two possibilities. One possibility is, Nifty likely to move towards its all time high in a slow manner and if this is the case, then it may take 6 months to 1 year to cross the all time high. The other view is, Nifty is likely to move towards its previous high without any major downside correction and in this case, Nifty is likely to cross the all time high before the month of August 2006. If Market moves in expected lines, then once again we are likely to see a strong bull market in coming months.