Monday, July 06, 2009

TECHNICAL OUTLOOK, 6 JULY








Nifty (spot) 4424.25



Nifty Intraday trading levels and range


Today, if Nifty sustains below 4370, then it could test 4230.

Instead, if Nifty trades above 4370, then it could test 4470.



Nifty intraday Trading Strategy

For intraday, the crucial level is 4370. Trade short below this level and trade long above this level.


Nifty Positional Trading Strategy


Positional traders can initiate shorts if it fails to sustain above 4370 for a target of 3600 with a stop at 4450 and trade long above 4450 for a target of 4650 with a stop at 4450.



Short term Technical View of Nifty


Nifty is likely to test 4000 initially in the downside, if it fails to move above 4450 in coming trading sessions.

The rally from the low of 2545 seems to corrective and it is likely to top out around 4650. Initially it is likely to test 3600 in the downside.






Medium term outlook of Nifty dated on 20 May 2009

The medium term outlook of Nifty would remain bearish if it fails to sustain above 4650. Nifty is likely to bottom out in the medium term at 2000-2200 levels in coming months and if it fails to sustain above this level, then it is likely to decline below 2000 levels.





Long term outlook of Nifty dated on 30 June 2009

The long term outlook of Nifty is looking bearish and it seems that Nifty is likely to bottom out in 1 year to 2 years if the bottom forms around 2000. If the level 2000 is not held, then Nifty is likely to take more than 1 year to bottom out.





Short term trading calls of Stocks for spot market



Reliance (spot)

The level 1990 is crucial for short term. If it sustains above 1990, then it is likely to rally towards 2120.

Instead, if it fails to sustain above 1990 in coming trading sessions, then it is likely to turn weak and it could decline towards 1850 initially.

Trading Strategy for Reliance

For intraday, the crucial level is 1990. Trade long above these levels and trade short below these levels.

Positional traders can initiate longs if it sustains above 1990 for a target of 2120. Initiate shorts if it fails to sustain above 1990 for a target of 1850.



SBI (spot)

The crucial level for the short term for this scrip is 1850. If it fails to sustain above 1850, then it is likely to turn bearish and in the down side it could test 1600 in coming trading sessions.

Instead, if it sustains above 1850, then the short term trend would turn bullish and in the upper side it is likely to move towards 1950.


Trading Strategy for SBI

For Intraday, the crucial level is 1850. Trade long above this level and trade short below this level.

Positional traders can initiate shorts if it fails to sustain above 1850 for a target of 1600. And initiate longs if it sustains above 1850 for a target of 1950.



Rcom (spot)

The level 305 is crucial in the short term. If the scrip trades above this level, the short term would turn bullish and in the upper side it could test 330.

If it fails to sustain above 305, then the trend would turn bearish and in the downside it is likely to decline towards 250 initially.


Trading Strategy for Rcom


For intraday, the crucial level is 305. Trade long above this level and be short below this level.

Positional traders can initiate shorts if it fails to sustain above 305 for a target of 250. Initiate longs if it sustains above 305 for a target of 330.





Icici Bank (spot)

The level 775 is crucial for this scrip in the short term. If it sustains above this level, then it is likely to see a rally from these levels towards 800.

Instead, if it fails to sustain above 775, the short term trend would turn bearish and in the downside it is likely to decline towards 650 initially.



Trading Strategy for Icici Bank

For intraday, the crucial level is 775 . Trade long above this level and be short below this level.

Positional traders can initiate shorts if the scrip fails to sustain above 775 for a target of 650. Initiate longs if it sustains above 775 for a target of 800.




Tata Steel (spot)

The crucial level for the scrip in the short term is 430. The trend would remain bearish for this scrip if it sustains below 430 and in the down side, it could test 350 initially.

If the scrip sustains above 430 then the scrip is likely to turn bullish in the short term and in the upper side it could rally towards 450.


Trading Strategy for Tata Steel

For intraday, the crucial level is 430. Trade long above this level and be short below this level.

Positional traders can initiate longs if the scrip sustains above 430 in the upside for a target of 450. Short if it fails to sustain above 430 for a target of 350.


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