TECHNICAL OUTLOOK, 5 MARCH

D Sathia Moorthy


Nifty (spot) 2645.20



Nifty Intraday trading levels and range

Today, if Nifty trades below 2660 then it could test 2600 and below this level it could test 2550.

Instead, if it sustains above 2660, then it could test 2700.


Nifty intraday Trading Strategy

For intraday, the crucial level is 2660. Trade short below this level and trade long above this level.


Nifty Positional Trading Strategy


Positional traders can initiate shorts if it fails to sustain above 2750 for a target of 2500 with a stop at 2800 and trade long above 2800 for a target of 2950 with a stop at 2750.



Short term Technical View of Nifty


The short term trend is looking weak and it is likely to test 2500 initially and then it could decline towards 2000 and this view holds good as long as Nifty stays below 2850.






Medium term outlook of Nifty dated on 14 October 2008

The medium term outlook of Nifty would remain bearish if it fails to sustain above 3100. Nifty is likely to bottom out in the medium term at 2000-2200 levels in coming months and if it fails to sustain above this level, then it is likely to decline below 2000 levels.





Long term outlook of Nifty dated on 13 October 2008

The long term outlook of Nifty is looking bearish and it seems that Nifty is likely to bottom out in 6 months to 1 year if the bottom forms around 2000. If the level 2000 is not held, then Nifty is likely to take more than 1 year to bottom out.





Short term trading calls of Stocks for spot market



Reliance (spot)

The level 1240 is crucial for short term. If it sustains above 1240, then it is likely to rally towards 1300.

Instead, if it fails to sustain above 1240 in coming trading sessions, then it is likely to turn weak and it could decline towards 1100 initially.

Trading Strategy for Reliance

For intraday, the crucial level is 1225. Trade long above these levels and trade short below these levels.

Positional traders can initiate longs if it moves above 1240 for a target of 1300. Initiate shorts if it fails to sustain above 1240 for a target of 1100 initially.



SBI (spot)

The crucial level for the short term for this scrip is 980. If it fails to sustain above 980, then it is likely to turn bearish and in the down side it could test 850 in coming trading sessions.

Instead, if it sustains above 980, then the short term trend would turn bullish and in the upper side it is likely to move towards 1020.


Trading Strategy for SBI

For Intraday, the crucial level is 980. Trade long above this level and trade short below this level.

Positional traders can initiate shorts if it fails to sustain above 980 for a target of 850. And initiate longs if it sustains above 980 for a target of 1020.



Infosys (spot)

The level 1220 is crucial in the short term. If the scrip trades above this level, the short term would turn bullish and in the upper side it could test 1260.

If it fails to sustain above 1220, then the trend would turn bearish and in the downside it is likely to decline towards 1000 initially.


Trading Strategy for Infosys


For intraday, the crucial level is 1220. Trade long above this level and be short below this level.

Positional traders can initiate shorts if it fails to sustain above 1220 for a target of 1000. Initiate longs if it sustains above 1220 for a target of 1260.





Rcom (spot)

The level 141 is crucial for this scrip in the short term. If it sustains above this level, then it is likely to see a rally from these levels towards 150.

Instead, if it fails to sustain above 141, the short term trend would turn bearish and in the downside it is likely to decline towards 100 initially.



Trading Strategy for Rcom

For intraday, the crucial level is 139. Trade long above this level and be short below this level.

Positional traders can initiate shorts if the scrip fails to sustain above 141 for a target of 100. Initiate longs if it sustains above 141 for a target of 150.




Icici Bank (spot)

The crucial level for the scrip in the short term is 305. The trend would remain bearish for this scrip if it sustains below 305 and in the down side, it could test 250 initially.

If the scrip sustains above 305, then the scrip is likely to turn bullish in the short term and in the upper side it could rally towards 330.


Trading Strategy for Icici Bank

For intraday, the crucial level is 288. Trade long above this level and be short below this level.

Positional traders can initiate longs if the level 305 is broken in the upside for a target of 330. Short if it fails to sustain above 305 for a target of 250.


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