TECHNICAL OUTLOOK, 18 AUGUST

DAILY NEWSLETTER


D Sathia Moorthy


Nifty 4430.70


Short term Technical View of Nifty


The level 4420 is the crucial level in the short term. If Nifty sustains above this level, then it is likely to move towards 4800 by this month end.

Instead, if it fails to hold above 4420, then it could decline towards 4200 initially.


If Nifty doesn’t go below 4420 here after, then the low of 3790 would be the medium term bottom. And also it implies a medium term rally in coming months.



Extreme Short term technical view of Nifty


In the extreme short term, the levels 4420 and 4500 are crucial. Break out of either levels is likely to be followed by a one sided move in the direction of the breakout.





Nifty Intraday trading levels

Today, if Nifty trades below 4420, then it could test 4500 and above this level it could test 4530. Instead, if it moves above 4420, then it could test 4300.



Trading Strategy for Nifty

For intraday, the crucial level is 4420. Be long above this level and be short below this level.

For positional Trading the level 4420 is crucial. Be long above this level and be short below this level.








Medium term outlook of Nifty dated on 02 July 2008

The medium term outlook of Nifty has turned bullish and it is likely to move towards 5500 by this year end and this view holds good as long as Nifty stays above 3600.





Long term outlook of Nifty dated on 02 July 2008

The long term outlook of Nifty is looking bullish and it seems that Nifty is in the middle of this bull run. So, the bullrun is likely to continue for another 4 to 5 years and this view holds good as long as Nifty stays above 3600.






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