Wednesday, August 02, 2006

TECHNICAL OUTLOOK - 02, AUGUST

Nifty 3147.80

The short term trend in Nifty is looking bullish and this view holds good as long as Nifty stays above 3050 level.

Today, if Nifty trades below 3135 level, then it could terminate the present downside around 3080-3100 region. On the other hand, if it sustains above 3135 and moves above 3170 level, then rally could extend further in the upside.The stop for the longs is 3050.

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Satyam 751.50

If satyam sustains above 745 level, then it has potential of moving towards 800 in coming trading sessions. If this level is violated, then it could test 720 levels in the downside before moving up.


Medium term Outlook of Nifty

For the past few weeks, I have been mentioning that the maximum possible downside potential is limited to 2500 level for Nifty. If market doesn’t violate this level here after, the long term bullish trend will remain intact. Correction extending beyond this level is highly suspectable and we have to rework the long term charts. Now, one can remain invested for the long term with a stop at 2850.

The post correction scenario has two possibilities. One possibility is, Nifty is likely to move towards its all time high in a slow manner and if this is the case, then it may take 6 months to 1 year to cross the all time high. The other view is, Nifty is likely to move towards its previous high without any major downside correction and in this case, Nifty is likely to cross the all time high before the month of August 2006. If Market moves in expected lines, then once again we are likely to see a strong bull market in coming months.

Tuesday, August 01, 2006

TECHNICAL OUTLOOK - 01, AUGUST

Nifty 3143.20


The short term trend in Nifty continues to be bullish and the maximum downside potential is limited to 3050.

Today, it seems Nifty could terminate the present downside around 3080-3100 region. Nifty is likely to bounce from these levels.The stop for the longs is 3050.

For the past few weeks, I have been mentioning that the maximum possible downside potential is limited to 2500 level for Nifty. If market doesn’t violate this level here after, the long term bullish trend will remain intact. Correction extending beyond this level is highly suspectable and we have to rework the long term charts. Now, one can remain invested for the long term with a stop at 2850.

The post correction scenario has two possibilities. One possibility is, Nifty is likely to move towards its all time high in a slow manner and if this is the case, then it may take 6 months to 1 year to cross the all time high. The other view is, Nifty is likely to move towards its previous high without any major downside correction and in this case, Nifty is likely to cross the all time high before the month of August 2006. If Market moves in expected lines, then once again we are likely to see a strong bull market in coming months.